COVID 19
#21
14 un linked case.

Just like predicted yesterday.


Plus cluster and import will be 70.

This missing link to the un linked case. The answer is so simple. Not like we cant see from all the YouTube videos from successful countries who managed to control and China (a country with over a Billion people) that bring the case to zero.

27-3-2020 1:33 PM
milo178 said:
Now, lets go through the measures taken

I try chronologically

1. Sick people wear mask, not sick no need
1.5 wash hand
2. Quarantine
3. Tracking
4. No gathering of over 250 people.
5. No unnecessary events
6. No movies.
7. No gathering of over 10 person? Unnecessary gathering?
8. Social distancing.
9. Who knows what else coz everyday like got something different

Yes, all is good. All stops virus spread.with all these, I believe we can control the virus to less than 14 local transmission per day.

But then again... Ever wonder how that 14 is transmitted? And why don't we just do that little bit more and eradicate the virus?
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#22
26-3-2020 11:08 AM
milo178 said:
Understand the Virus to fight the it.

It spreads exponentially. That means.

1. 1 spread to 3
2. 3 spread to 9
3. 9 spread to 27
4. 27 spread to 81
5. 81 spread to 243
6. 243 spread to 739
7. 739 spread to 2100
8. 2100 spread to 6300
9. 6300 spread to 18900
10. 18900 spread to 55000

16. 4.78 mln
22. 3.48 bln

Assuming each gen requires the reported average 5 days of incubation, 21 gens will be 105 days or about 3 months.
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#23
Just aired on TV.

No sick no need wear mask. OMG!
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#24
Just see the news....

Can see that Europeans starting to wear mask liao.

One guy even wear 2 mask before going up the bus.
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